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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Fed”
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How to trade
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Productivity
89%
Central Bank
89%
36 more
$185K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
50 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
65%
September Meeting
64%
3 more
$1.76M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
64 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
69%
Pause–Pause–Pause
22%
7 more
$597K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
47 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
67%
Pause–Pause–Pause
33%
7 more
$642K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
63 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
64%
25 bps increase
23%
3 more
$373K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
48 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
35%
1 (25 bps)
33%
4 more
$71K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$71
42 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$457.43
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
39 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.8K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
44 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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